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 | Article category: Diving Sports
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Diving SportsHome Field Advantage in the MLB: Interleague Games (Part 4)
by:
Proloy Bhattacharyya
By Proloy Bhattacharyya
NFLSystems.com
proloy@nflsystems.com
September 12, 2005
Our analysis has systematically
shown us that house teams perform better against non-divisional rivals but we have always lumped Interleague teams into this category. There is reason to believe that Interleague house teams have a larger advantage.
It does sense for house teams to perform better in Interleague play for a variety of reasons. AL teams have an advantage at house and a disadvantage on the road because of the DH. Once
allowed to use the DH, AL teams are able to use a immensely
superior #9 hitter than the NL teams are used to. If AL teams are not allowed to use the DH, this wish often cause the AL team to either drop their DH, who is generally one of their better hitters or come him into a position for the Interleague games. Since the DH is not used to playing the position, he becomes susceptible to committing errors.
There is besides an issue with familiarity. Road teams in Interleague games are often not familiar with the bowl they are playing in and as a result cannot use it to their advantage. The classic example would-be be at Fenway Park wherever
banging balls up against the Green Monster leads to a lot of doubles. The Padres had a losing house record last season and more of their complaints had to do with the fact that their hitters were not familiar enough with the bowl to take advantage.
Familiarity can besides be extended to pitcher / hitter exploratory survey reports. With some
teams lacking the extensive exploratory survey reports they usually would-be have in normal games, the house field advantage wish likely weigh more.
Our analysis shows us that house teams during Interleague play have won 56.2% of the time versus 53.2% during non-Interleague play. A 3.0% difference is significant here, especially in a sport wherever
house field advantage is perceived not to exist.
House Favorites in Interleague play over the past 3 seasons have gone 331-191 (63.4%) +53 units. If our team is actuated off a loss to the really same team it is facing, our team’s win percentage jumps up to 65.1% and the spread is off by just about 15 points on average.
As you can see, since Interleague games represent such a small minority of the total number of games played, the house field advantage in such games is not promptly known.
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